Skip to main content

Table 2 Various probability estimations of hepatitis B disease progression obtained from published follow-up studies

From: Cost-effectiveness analysis of current non-mandatory hepatitis B vaccination coverage vs expanding coverage among healthcare workers in Ethiopia

Health event incidence/transition

Probability

Range

Data source

Incidence of hepatitis B infection without vaccination among HCWs

0.6

0.4–0.8

[15]

The transition from acute hepatitis B to chronic HepB

0.05

0.05–0.1

[5]

Progression of untreated HepB to sequelae (cirrhosis, HCC)

0.05

0.02–0.054

[1]

Death due to HepB infection

0.0106

0–0.0106

Incidence of sequelae chronic following HepB treatment

0.0175

0.017–0.022

[5, 8]

Death due to HepB complication

0.2

0.15–0.25

[22]

  1. HCC hepato-cellular carcinoma, HCWs Healthcare workers, HepB hepatitis B